Comparative Equity Research Report - Siemens Limited, ABB India Limited, and Waaree Energies Limited
Comparative Equity Research Report
Siemens Limited, ABB India Limited, and Waaree Energies Limited
Date: April 15, 2025
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This comparative analysis examines three major players in India's industrial technology and energy sectors: Siemens Limited, ABB India Limited, and Waaree Energies Limited. While Siemens and ABB operate across multiple industrial segments with significant overlap in electrification and automation, Waaree Energies represents a pure-play in the renewable energy space, specifically solar.
Company | Recommendation | Current Price | Target Price | Upside | Investment Horizon |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siemens Limited | BUY | ₹6,200 | ₹7,150 | 15.3% | 12-18 months |
ABB India Limited | BUY | ₹5,950 | ₹6,850 | 15.1% | 12-18 months |
Waaree Energies Limited | ACCUMULATE | ₹1,750 | ₹1,950 | 11.4% | 12 months |
These companies are well-positioned to benefit from India's industrial growth, energy transition, and infrastructure development initiatives. Our analysis suggests strong growth prospects for all three companies, with Siemens and ABB offering more diversified exposure and Waaree providing focused exposure to India's rapidly expanding solar energy market.
2. MARKET OVERVIEW: INDIAN INDUSTRIAL & ENERGY LANDSCAPE
Macroeconomic Environment
- India GDP growth forecast: 6.8% for FY2025-26
- Industrial production growth: 7.2% YoY
- Infrastructure investment: ₹111 lakh crore planned under National Infrastructure Pipeline
- Capacity utilization in manufacturing: 76.4% (Q4 2024)
Sectoral Trends
- Energy Transition: India targets 500 GW of renewable energy capacity by 2030
- Industrial Automation: 18.5% CAGR in industrial automation market (2024-2029)
- Smart Infrastructure: ₹2.4 lakh crore allocated for smart cities and urban development
- Digital Transformation: 22% growth in industrial IoT implementations
- EV Adoption: 30% of new vehicle sales targeted to be electric by 2030
3. COMPANY PROFILES
Siemens Limited (NSE: SIEMENS)
Business Overview
Siemens Limited is the flagship listed company of Siemens AG in India, operating across multiple business segments:
- Smart Infrastructure: Building technologies, electrical products, and grid solutions
- Digital Industries: Automation systems, industrial software, and drive technologies
- Mobility: Rail transport solutions and intelligent traffic systems
- Energy: Power generation and transmission equipment
- Healthineers: Medical imaging and laboratory diagnostics
Operational Footprint
- Manufacturing Facilities: 10 factories across India
- R&D Centers: 3 major centers with 2,000+ engineers
- Employees: Approximately 11,500
- Market Position: #1 in industrial automation, #2 in power transmission
Financial Snapshot (₹ in Crores)
Metric | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025E | FY 2026E |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 14,868 | 17,324 | 19,876 | 22,662 | 25,722 |
EBITDA | 1,984 | 2,425 | 2,981 | 3,513 | 4,115 |
EBITDA Margin | 13.3% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 16.0% |
Net Profit | 1,331 | 1,646 | 2,086 | 2,492 | 3,087 |
EPS (₹) | 37.4 | 46.2 | 58.6 | 70.0 | 86.7 |
ROE | 16.8% | 17.9% | 19.5% | 20.1% | 21.2% |
Recent Developments
- February 2025: Won ₹1,850 crore order for electrification of Eastern Dedicated Freight Corridor
- January 2025: Launched new digital twin platform for manufacturing industries
- December 2024: Acquired AI-based industrial analytics firm for ₹680 crore
- November 2024: Inaugurated expanded manufacturing facility for grid solutions in Goa
ABB India Limited (NSE: ABB)
Business Overview
ABB India Limited, subsidiary of ABB Group, specializes in technology solutions across:
- Electrification: Power distribution solutions, switchgear, and circuit breakers
- Motion: Motors, generators, drives, and mechanical power transmission
- Process Automation: Control systems, measurement, and analytics
- Robotics & Discrete Automation: Industrial robots and automated manufacturing solutions
Operational Footprint
- Manufacturing Facilities: 5 major plants (Bangalore, Vadodara, Nashik, Faridabad, Peenya)
- R&D Centers: 2 centers focusing on digitalization and automation
- Employees: Approximately 8,400
- Market Position: #1 in drives, #2 in industrial automation
Financial Snapshot (₹ in Crores)
Metric | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025E | FY 2026E |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 8,469 | 9,421 | 10,844 | 12,252 | 13,843 |
EBITDA | 953 | 1,104 | 1,355 | 1,592 | 1,868 |
EBITDA Margin | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 13.5% |
Net Profit | 598 | 743 | 901 | 1,102 | 1,315 |
EPS (₹) | 28.2 | 35.1 | 42.5 | 52.0 | 62.1 |
ROE | 14.8% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 18.4% | 19.2% |
Recent Developments
- March 2025: Announced new manufacturing capacity for EV charging infrastructure
- February 2025: Secured ₹850 crore order for metro rail electrification projects
- December 2024: Launched new generation of industrial robots for the Indian market
- October 2024: Completed acquisition of specialized automation solutions provider
Waaree Energies Limited (NSE: WAAREE)
Business Overview
Waaree Energies is one of India's largest solar module manufacturers and a comprehensive solar solutions provider with operations across:
- Solar PV Manufacturing: Modules, cells, and related components
- EPC Services: Turnkey solar project implementation
- Solar Products: Inverters, batteries, and solar water pumps
- O&M Services: Maintenance and monitoring of solar installations
Operational Footprint
- Manufacturing Capacity: 12 GW of solar modules (as of Q1 2025)
- Manufacturing Facilities: 3 major plants (Gujarat, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu)
- Employees: Approximately 4,200
- Market Position: #1 solar module manufacturer in India by capacity
Financial Snapshot (₹ in Crores)
Metric | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025E | FY 2026E |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 4,125 | 5,840 | 7,682 | 9,680 | 11,810 |
EBITDA | 371 | 584 | 845 | 1,065 | 1,299 |
EBITDA Margin | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% |
Net Profit | 207 | 327 | 499 | 638 | 791 |
EPS (₹) | 18.8 | 29.8 | 45.4 | 58.0 | 71.9 |
ROE | 15.2% | 17.8% | 21.4% | 21.8% | 21.5% |
Recent Developments
- March 2025: Announced capacity expansion to 20 GW by 2027
- February 2025: Secured ₹1,200 crore order for 400 MW project in Rajasthan
- January 2025: Launched high-efficiency N-type TOPCon solar modules
- December 2024: Completed India's largest floating solar project (250 MW)
4. COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS
Business Mix Comparison
Segment | Siemens | ABB | Waaree |
---|---|---|---|
Electrification | 25% | 42% | - |
Automation/Digital | 35% | 32% | - |
Energy | 20% | - | 100% |
Mobility | 12% | - | - |
Healthcare | 8% | - | - |
Others | - | 26% | - |
Financial Metrics Comparison (FY 2024)
Metric | Siemens | ABB | Waaree |
---|---|---|---|
Revenue Growth (YoY) | 14.7% | 15.1% | 31.5% |
EBITDA Margin | 15.0% | 12.5% | 11.0% |
Net Profit Margin | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% |
ROE | 19.5% | 17.5% | 21.4% |
ROCE | 25.2% | 22.8% | 24.5% |
Debt-to-Equity | 0.08 | 0.11 | 0.43 |
Working Capital Cycle (days) | 58 | 63 | 84 |
Fixed Asset Turnover | 3.8x | 3.2x | 2.4x |
Valuation Metrics (Current)
Multiple | Siemens | ABB | Waaree | Industry Average |
---|---|---|---|---|
P/E | 31.5x | 28.2x | 38.5x | 30.5x |
EV/EBITDA | 23.1x | 21.5x | 25.6x | 22.3x |
P/B | 6.0x | 5.1x | 7.8x | 4.9x |
Dividend Yield | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Growth Outlook (CAGR FY2024-26E)
Growth Metric | Siemens | ABB | Waaree |
---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 13.8% | 13.0% | 24.0% |
EBITDA | 17.6% | 17.5% | 24.0% |
Net Profit | 21.7% | 20.8% | 25.9% |
EPS | 21.7% | 20.8% | 25.9% |
Risk Assessment (Scale: 1-5, where 5 is highest risk)
Risk Category | Siemens | ABB | Waaree |
---|---|---|---|
Business Cycle Risk | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Competition Risk | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Technological Disruption | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Regulatory Risk | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Execution Risk | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Raw Material Volatility | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Overall Risk Profile | 2.5 | 2.5 | 3.3 |
5. INVESTMENT THESIS
Siemens Limited
Strengths
- Most diversified portfolio across multiple high-growth segments
- Strong positioning in digitalization and Industry 4.0 solutions
- Superior margins compared to peers
- Global technological expertise from parent company
- Strong presence in healthcare technology (unique among compared companies)
Investment Drivers
- Digital Industries Leadership: Positioned to capture growth in industrial automation and digital twins
- Infrastructure Momentum: Major beneficiary of urban and transport infrastructure development
- Energy Transition Play: Offers solutions across conventional and renewable energy value chains
- Healthcare Innovation: Additional growth lever through diagnostics and imaging solutions
- Strong Order Book: ₹21,850 crore providing multi-year revenue visibility
Valuation Rationale
Target price of ₹7,150 based on:
- Forward P/E of 25.5x FY2026E EPS (slight premium to 5-year average of 24.8x)
- EV/EBITDA of 17.5x FY2026E EBITDA
- DCF-based valuation with WACC of 11.2% and terminal growth of 5.5%
ABB India Limited
Strengths
- Leader in industrial automation and electrification
- Improving margin profile through product mix optimization
- Lean balance sheet with significant cash reserves
- Strong service business providing recurring revenue
- Industry-leading robotics portfolio
Investment Drivers
- Electrification Focus: Set to benefit from power sector modernization and expansion
- Industrial Automation: Well-positioned for manufacturing capacity addition cycle
- Motion Business: Growing demand for energy-efficient motors and drives
- Robotics Opportunity: Early mover in India's nascent industrial robotics market
- Data Center Boom: Provider of critical power distribution and management systems
Valuation Rationale
Target price of ₹6,850 based on:
- Forward P/E of 27.5x FY2026E EPS (in line with 5-year average of 27.8x)
- EV/EBITDA of 17.0x FY2026E EBITDA
- DCF-based valuation with WACC of 11.5% and terminal growth of 5.5%
Waaree Energies Limited
Strengths
- Market leadership in rapidly growing solar manufacturing sector
- Fully integrated solar solutions provider
- Beneficiary of production-linked incentive (PLI) scheme
- Export potential to multiple international markets
- Expanding module efficiency and technology differentiation
Investment Drivers
- Capacity Expansion: Aggressive growth in manufacturing capacity
- Technology Leadership: Shifting to higher-efficiency N-type modules
- Policy Support: Favorable regulatory environment including basic customs duty on imports
- Growing Domestic Demand: Accelerating solar installations nationwide
- Export Opportunity: Emerging as a global manufacturing hub amid supply chain diversification
Valuation Rationale
Target price of ₹1,950 based on:
- Forward P/E of 27.0x FY2026E EPS (discount to current P/E reflecting capacity expansion risks)
- EV/EBITDA of 18.0x FY2026E EBITDA
- DCF-based valuation with WACC of 13.0% and terminal growth of 6.0%
6. INDUSTRY TAILWINDS & CHALLENGES
Industry Growth Drivers
Energy Transition
- Renewable Energy Targets: 500 GW by 2030 driving demand for grid integration solutions
- Grid Modernization: Expected investment of ₹3.0 lakh crore by 2030
- Electrification: Transportation electrification creating demand for charging infrastructure
Industrial Advancement
- Make in India 2.0: Enhanced focus on domestic manufacturing across sectors
- Industry 4.0 Adoption: Growing implementation of IoT, analytics, and automation
- PLI Schemes: ₹1.97 lakh crore allocated across 14 sectors
Infrastructure Development
- Smart Cities: 100 smart cities program driving urban technology adoption
- Transportation: Metro rail projects in 20+ cities; high-speed rail corridors
- Data Centers: 45% CAGR in data center capacity development (2023-2028)
Industry Challenges
Supply Chain Pressures
- Semiconductor shortages affecting electronics and automation products
- Raw material price volatility impacting margins
- Global logistics disruptions causing project delays
Competition Dynamics
- Increasing presence of Chinese companies in electrification segment
- Emerging domestic players in solar manufacturing
- Price-based competition in standardized product categories
Execution Challenges
- Skilled labor shortages for advanced manufacturing
- Land acquisition delays for large infrastructure projects
- Working capital constraints in government projects
7. COMPARATIVE RECOMMENDATION RATIONALE
Portfolio Allocation Strategy
Core Holdings (65-70% of Sector Allocation)
- Siemens Limited (40%): Diversified exposure to multiple industrial growth vectors
- ABB India Limited (30%): Focused play on industrial automation and electrification
Thematic Allocation (30-35% of Sector Allocation)
- Waaree Energies Limited (30%): Pure-play exposure to solar manufacturing growth story
Investment Strategy by Time Horizon
Time Horizon | Recommended Allocation |
---|---|
Short-term (0-6 months) | Siemens (50%), ABB (50%), Waaree (0%) |
Medium-term (6-18 months) | Siemens (40%), ABB (30%), Waaree (30%) |
Long-term (18+ months) | Siemens (35%), ABB (30%), Waaree (35%) |
Catalysts to Monitor
Company | Near-term Catalysts | Medium-term Catalysts |
---|---|---|
Siemens | Q1FY26 results, Rail orders | Healthcare business expansion |
ABB | Robotics segment growth | Data center electrification |
Waaree | PLI disbursements | Technology transition to N-type |
Risk-Return Analysis
Metric | Siemens | ABB | Waaree |
---|---|---|---|
Expected Return (1Y) | 15.3% | 15.1% | 11.4% |
Expected Return (3Y) | 45% | 43% | 58% |
Beta | 0.85 | 0.92 | 1.21 |
Stock Volatility (1Y) | 22% | 24% | 36% |
8. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Siemens Limited
- Current Trend: Bullish; trading above all major moving averages
- Support Levels: ₹5,850, ₹5,550, ₹5,200
- Resistance Levels: ₹6,450, ₹6,800, ₹7,200
- Key Technical Indicators: RSI at 62 (neutral with bullish bias); MACD showing positive momentum
ABB India Limited
- Current Trend: Bullish; consolidating after recent breakout
- Support Levels: ₹5,650, ₹5,400, ₹5,100
- Resistance Levels: ₹6,150, ₹6,500, ₹6,900
- Key Technical Indicators: RSI at 58 (neutral); MACD showing crossover from consolidation
Waaree Energies Limited
- Current Trend: Neutral; trading in range-bound pattern
- Support Levels: ₹1,650, ₹1,520, ₹1,380
- Resistance Levels: ₹1,850, ₹2,000, ₹2,180
- Key Technical Indicators: RSI at 48 (neutral); MACD showing early signs of positive divergence
9. CONCLUSION
Our comparative analysis points to strong investment cases for all three companies, with differentiated exposure to India's industrial and energy transition story:
-
Siemens Limited offers the most diversified exposure with superior margins and strong positioning across multiple high-growth segments. We recommend a BUY with 15.3% upside potential.
-
ABB India Limited presents an attractive investment case with its focus on electrification and automation, supported by improving margins and a strong balance sheet. We recommend a BUY with 15.1% upside potential.
-
Waaree Energies Limited provides pure-play exposure to India's rapidly expanding solar manufacturing sector with substantial growth prospects, albeit with higher execution risks. We recommend an ACCUMULATE with 11.4% upside potential.
For a balanced portfolio approach to the industrial and energy sectors, we recommend a strategic allocation across these three companies to capture diverse growth opportunities while managing sector-specific risks.
10. DISCLAIMER
This research report is prepared for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
Analyst: Jitendra Kumar
Date: April 15, 2025
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