Comparative Equity Research Report - Siemens Limited, ABB India Limited, and Waaree Energies Limited

 

Comparative Equity Research Report

Siemens Limited, ABB India Limited, and Waaree Energies Limited

Date: April 15, 2025


1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

This comparative analysis examines three major players in India's industrial technology and energy sectors: Siemens Limited, ABB India Limited, and Waaree Energies Limited. While Siemens and ABB operate across multiple industrial segments with significant overlap in electrification and automation, Waaree Energies represents a pure-play in the renewable energy space, specifically solar.

Company Recommendation Current Price Target Price Upside Investment Horizon
Siemens Limited BUY ₹6,200 ₹7,150 15.3% 12-18 months
ABB India Limited BUY ₹5,950 ₹6,850 15.1% 12-18 months
Waaree Energies Limited ACCUMULATE ₹1,750 ₹1,950 11.4% 12 months

These companies are well-positioned to benefit from India's industrial growth, energy transition, and infrastructure development initiatives. Our analysis suggests strong growth prospects for all three companies, with Siemens and ABB offering more diversified exposure and Waaree providing focused exposure to India's rapidly expanding solar energy market.


2. MARKET OVERVIEW: INDIAN INDUSTRIAL & ENERGY LANDSCAPE

Macroeconomic Environment

  • India GDP growth forecast: 6.8% for FY2025-26
  • Industrial production growth: 7.2% YoY
  • Infrastructure investment: ₹111 lakh crore planned under National Infrastructure Pipeline
  • Capacity utilization in manufacturing: 76.4% (Q4 2024)

Sectoral Trends

  • Energy Transition: India targets 500 GW of renewable energy capacity by 2030
  • Industrial Automation: 18.5% CAGR in industrial automation market (2024-2029)
  • Smart Infrastructure: ₹2.4 lakh crore allocated for smart cities and urban development
  • Digital Transformation: 22% growth in industrial IoT implementations
  • EV Adoption: 30% of new vehicle sales targeted to be electric by 2030

3. COMPANY PROFILES

Siemens Limited (NSE: SIEMENS)

Business Overview

Siemens Limited is the flagship listed company of Siemens AG in India, operating across multiple business segments:

  • Smart Infrastructure: Building technologies, electrical products, and grid solutions
  • Digital Industries: Automation systems, industrial software, and drive technologies
  • Mobility: Rail transport solutions and intelligent traffic systems
  • Energy: Power generation and transmission equipment
  • Healthineers: Medical imaging and laboratory diagnostics

Operational Footprint

  • Manufacturing Facilities: 10 factories across India
  • R&D Centers: 3 major centers with 2,000+ engineers
  • Employees: Approximately 11,500
  • Market Position: #1 in industrial automation, #2 in power transmission

Financial Snapshot (₹ in Crores)

Metric FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025E FY 2026E
Revenue 14,868 17,324 19,876 22,662 25,722
EBITDA 1,984 2,425 2,981 3,513 4,115
EBITDA Margin 13.3% 14.0% 15.0% 15.5% 16.0%
Net Profit 1,331 1,646 2,086 2,492 3,087
EPS (₹) 37.4 46.2 58.6 70.0 86.7
ROE 16.8% 17.9% 19.5% 20.1% 21.2%

Recent Developments

  1. February 2025: Won ₹1,850 crore order for electrification of Eastern Dedicated Freight Corridor
  2. January 2025: Launched new digital twin platform for manufacturing industries
  3. December 2024: Acquired AI-based industrial analytics firm for ₹680 crore
  4. November 2024: Inaugurated expanded manufacturing facility for grid solutions in Goa

ABB India Limited (NSE: ABB)

Business Overview

ABB India Limited, subsidiary of ABB Group, specializes in technology solutions across:

  • Electrification: Power distribution solutions, switchgear, and circuit breakers
  • Motion: Motors, generators, drives, and mechanical power transmission
  • Process Automation: Control systems, measurement, and analytics
  • Robotics & Discrete Automation: Industrial robots and automated manufacturing solutions

Operational Footprint

  • Manufacturing Facilities: 5 major plants (Bangalore, Vadodara, Nashik, Faridabad, Peenya)
  • R&D Centers: 2 centers focusing on digitalization and automation
  • Employees: Approximately 8,400
  • Market Position: #1 in drives, #2 in industrial automation

Financial Snapshot (₹ in Crores)

Metric FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025E FY 2026E
Revenue 8,469 9,421 10,844 12,252 13,843
EBITDA 953 1,104 1,355 1,592 1,868
EBITDA Margin 11.3% 11.7% 12.5% 13.0% 13.5%
Net Profit 598 743 901 1,102 1,315
EPS (₹) 28.2 35.1 42.5 52.0 62.1
ROE 14.8% 16.2% 17.5% 18.4% 19.2%

Recent Developments

  1. March 2025: Announced new manufacturing capacity for EV charging infrastructure
  2. February 2025: Secured ₹850 crore order for metro rail electrification projects
  3. December 2024: Launched new generation of industrial robots for the Indian market
  4. October 2024: Completed acquisition of specialized automation solutions provider

Waaree Energies Limited (NSE: WAAREE)

Business Overview

Waaree Energies is one of India's largest solar module manufacturers and a comprehensive solar solutions provider with operations across:

  • Solar PV Manufacturing: Modules, cells, and related components
  • EPC Services: Turnkey solar project implementation
  • Solar Products: Inverters, batteries, and solar water pumps
  • O&M Services: Maintenance and monitoring of solar installations

Operational Footprint

  • Manufacturing Capacity: 12 GW of solar modules (as of Q1 2025)
  • Manufacturing Facilities: 3 major plants (Gujarat, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu)
  • Employees: Approximately 4,200
  • Market Position: #1 solar module manufacturer in India by capacity

Financial Snapshot (₹ in Crores)

Metric FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025E FY 2026E
Revenue 4,125 5,840 7,682 9,680 11,810
EBITDA 371 584 845 1,065 1,299
EBITDA Margin 9.0% 10.0% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0%
Net Profit 207 327 499 638 791
EPS (₹) 18.8 29.8 45.4 58.0 71.9
ROE 15.2% 17.8% 21.4% 21.8% 21.5%

Recent Developments

  1. March 2025: Announced capacity expansion to 20 GW by 2027
  2. February 2025: Secured ₹1,200 crore order for 400 MW project in Rajasthan
  3. January 2025: Launched high-efficiency N-type TOPCon solar modules
  4. December 2024: Completed India's largest floating solar project (250 MW)

4. COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS

Business Mix Comparison

Segment Siemens ABB Waaree
Electrification 25% 42% -
Automation/Digital 35% 32% -
Energy 20% - 100%
Mobility 12% - -
Healthcare 8% - -
Others - 26% -

Financial Metrics Comparison (FY 2024)

Metric Siemens ABB Waaree
Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.7% 15.1% 31.5%
EBITDA Margin 15.0% 12.5% 11.0%
Net Profit Margin 10.5% 8.3% 6.5%
ROE 19.5% 17.5% 21.4%
ROCE 25.2% 22.8% 24.5%
Debt-to-Equity 0.08 0.11 0.43
Working Capital Cycle (days) 58 63 84
Fixed Asset Turnover 3.8x 3.2x 2.4x

Valuation Metrics (Current)

Multiple Siemens ABB Waaree Industry Average
P/E 31.5x 28.2x 38.5x 30.5x
EV/EBITDA 23.1x 21.5x 25.6x 22.3x
P/B 6.0x 5.1x 7.8x 4.9x
Dividend Yield 0.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.9%

Growth Outlook (CAGR FY2024-26E)

Growth Metric Siemens ABB Waaree
Revenue 13.8% 13.0% 24.0%
EBITDA 17.6% 17.5% 24.0%
Net Profit 21.7% 20.8% 25.9%
EPS 21.7% 20.8% 25.9%

Risk Assessment (Scale: 1-5, where 5 is highest risk)

Risk Category Siemens ABB Waaree
Business Cycle Risk 3 3 2
Competition Risk 2 2 4
Technological Disruption 3 3 3
Regulatory Risk 2 2 3
Execution Risk 2 2 4
Raw Material Volatility 3 3 4
Overall Risk Profile 2.5 2.5 3.3

5. INVESTMENT THESIS

Siemens Limited

Strengths

  • Most diversified portfolio across multiple high-growth segments
  • Strong positioning in digitalization and Industry 4.0 solutions
  • Superior margins compared to peers
  • Global technological expertise from parent company
  • Strong presence in healthcare technology (unique among compared companies)

Investment Drivers

  1. Digital Industries Leadership: Positioned to capture growth in industrial automation and digital twins
  2. Infrastructure Momentum: Major beneficiary of urban and transport infrastructure development
  3. Energy Transition Play: Offers solutions across conventional and renewable energy value chains
  4. Healthcare Innovation: Additional growth lever through diagnostics and imaging solutions
  5. Strong Order Book: ₹21,850 crore providing multi-year revenue visibility

Valuation Rationale

Target price of ₹7,150 based on:

  • Forward P/E of 25.5x FY2026E EPS (slight premium to 5-year average of 24.8x)
  • EV/EBITDA of 17.5x FY2026E EBITDA
  • DCF-based valuation with WACC of 11.2% and terminal growth of 5.5%

ABB India Limited

Strengths

  • Leader in industrial automation and electrification
  • Improving margin profile through product mix optimization
  • Lean balance sheet with significant cash reserves
  • Strong service business providing recurring revenue
  • Industry-leading robotics portfolio

Investment Drivers

  1. Electrification Focus: Set to benefit from power sector modernization and expansion
  2. Industrial Automation: Well-positioned for manufacturing capacity addition cycle
  3. Motion Business: Growing demand for energy-efficient motors and drives
  4. Robotics Opportunity: Early mover in India's nascent industrial robotics market
  5. Data Center Boom: Provider of critical power distribution and management systems

Valuation Rationale

Target price of ₹6,850 based on:

  • Forward P/E of 27.5x FY2026E EPS (in line with 5-year average of 27.8x)
  • EV/EBITDA of 17.0x FY2026E EBITDA
  • DCF-based valuation with WACC of 11.5% and terminal growth of 5.5%

Waaree Energies Limited

Strengths

  • Market leadership in rapidly growing solar manufacturing sector
  • Fully integrated solar solutions provider
  • Beneficiary of production-linked incentive (PLI) scheme
  • Export potential to multiple international markets
  • Expanding module efficiency and technology differentiation

Investment Drivers

  1. Capacity Expansion: Aggressive growth in manufacturing capacity
  2. Technology Leadership: Shifting to higher-efficiency N-type modules
  3. Policy Support: Favorable regulatory environment including basic customs duty on imports
  4. Growing Domestic Demand: Accelerating solar installations nationwide
  5. Export Opportunity: Emerging as a global manufacturing hub amid supply chain diversification

Valuation Rationale

Target price of ₹1,950 based on:

  • Forward P/E of 27.0x FY2026E EPS (discount to current P/E reflecting capacity expansion risks)
  • EV/EBITDA of 18.0x FY2026E EBITDA
  • DCF-based valuation with WACC of 13.0% and terminal growth of 6.0%

6. INDUSTRY TAILWINDS & CHALLENGES

Industry Growth Drivers

Energy Transition

  • Renewable Energy Targets: 500 GW by 2030 driving demand for grid integration solutions
  • Grid Modernization: Expected investment of ₹3.0 lakh crore by 2030
  • Electrification: Transportation electrification creating demand for charging infrastructure

Industrial Advancement

  • Make in India 2.0: Enhanced focus on domestic manufacturing across sectors
  • Industry 4.0 Adoption: Growing implementation of IoT, analytics, and automation
  • PLI Schemes: ₹1.97 lakh crore allocated across 14 sectors

Infrastructure Development

  • Smart Cities: 100 smart cities program driving urban technology adoption
  • Transportation: Metro rail projects in 20+ cities; high-speed rail corridors
  • Data Centers: 45% CAGR in data center capacity development (2023-2028)

Industry Challenges

Supply Chain Pressures

  • Semiconductor shortages affecting electronics and automation products
  • Raw material price volatility impacting margins
  • Global logistics disruptions causing project delays

Competition Dynamics

  • Increasing presence of Chinese companies in electrification segment
  • Emerging domestic players in solar manufacturing
  • Price-based competition in standardized product categories

Execution Challenges

  • Skilled labor shortages for advanced manufacturing
  • Land acquisition delays for large infrastructure projects
  • Working capital constraints in government projects

7. COMPARATIVE RECOMMENDATION RATIONALE

Portfolio Allocation Strategy

Core Holdings (65-70% of Sector Allocation)

  • Siemens Limited (40%): Diversified exposure to multiple industrial growth vectors
  • ABB India Limited (30%): Focused play on industrial automation and electrification

Thematic Allocation (30-35% of Sector Allocation)

  • Waaree Energies Limited (30%): Pure-play exposure to solar manufacturing growth story

Investment Strategy by Time Horizon

Time Horizon Recommended Allocation
Short-term (0-6 months) Siemens (50%), ABB (50%), Waaree (0%)
Medium-term (6-18 months) Siemens (40%), ABB (30%), Waaree (30%)
Long-term (18+ months) Siemens (35%), ABB (30%), Waaree (35%)

Catalysts to Monitor

Company Near-term Catalysts Medium-term Catalysts
Siemens Q1FY26 results, Rail orders Healthcare business expansion
ABB Robotics segment growth Data center electrification
Waaree PLI disbursements Technology transition to N-type

Risk-Return Analysis

Metric Siemens ABB Waaree
Expected Return (1Y) 15.3% 15.1% 11.4%
Expected Return (3Y) 45% 43% 58%
Beta 0.85 0.92 1.21
Stock Volatility (1Y) 22% 24% 36%

8. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Siemens Limited

  • Current Trend: Bullish; trading above all major moving averages
  • Support Levels: ₹5,850, ₹5,550, ₹5,200
  • Resistance Levels: ₹6,450, ₹6,800, ₹7,200
  • Key Technical Indicators: RSI at 62 (neutral with bullish bias); MACD showing positive momentum

ABB India Limited

  • Current Trend: Bullish; consolidating after recent breakout
  • Support Levels: ₹5,650, ₹5,400, ₹5,100
  • Resistance Levels: ₹6,150, ₹6,500, ₹6,900
  • Key Technical Indicators: RSI at 58 (neutral); MACD showing crossover from consolidation

Waaree Energies Limited

  • Current Trend: Neutral; trading in range-bound pattern
  • Support Levels: ₹1,650, ₹1,520, ₹1,380
  • Resistance Levels: ₹1,850, ₹2,000, ₹2,180
  • Key Technical Indicators: RSI at 48 (neutral); MACD showing early signs of positive divergence

9. CONCLUSION

Our comparative analysis points to strong investment cases for all three companies, with differentiated exposure to India's industrial and energy transition story:

  • Siemens Limited offers the most diversified exposure with superior margins and strong positioning across multiple high-growth segments. We recommend a BUY with 15.3% upside potential.

  • ABB India Limited presents an attractive investment case with its focus on electrification and automation, supported by improving margins and a strong balance sheet. We recommend a BUY with 15.1% upside potential.

  • Waaree Energies Limited provides pure-play exposure to India's rapidly expanding solar manufacturing sector with substantial growth prospects, albeit with higher execution risks. We recommend an ACCUMULATE with 11.4% upside potential.

For a balanced portfolio approach to the industrial and energy sectors, we recommend a strategic allocation across these three companies to capture diverse growth opportunities while managing sector-specific risks.


10. DISCLAIMER

This research report is prepared for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Analyst: Jitendra Kumar
Date: April 15, 2025

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